NHL Bets: Game Pick, Total Pick, and Player Prop Picks for April 5, 2024

Well, yesterday wasn’t our best day for picks, and we still went 5-3 with a small profit to show for it. I’ll take that, but we can do better with +4.09 units in April ($409 profit on $100 bets). So let’s get to today’s action. I am really feeling a certain team from Sin City on the 3-Way Moneyline tonight, and EDM ML with the Over in Oil Town is a lock to me. Pair those picks with some player props …. and we’re cookin’ like Gordon Ramsey on speed. Let’s go folks.

*Units for me will be $50, bet responsibly.

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Game 1: Colorado Avalanche vs Edmonton Oilers, 7:00 p.m. CST

Pick: Over 6.5 -130 (1u)

Pick: Edmonton Moneyline -135 (1u)

I can feel these bets coming in the air tonight. Two of the most high-powered offences in the league meeting up for a playoff-atmosphere tilt. And while the playoff-atmosphere could indicate a slightly tighter game, I am still leaning Over and Edmonton ML because of two things: (1) the back-to-back Colorado is on, and (2) the shitty goaltending giving way to lots of twine tickling.

With Colorado playing its second game in 48 hours, they are going to have to play a little looser on the defensive end. Whether it be fatigue, or nicks and bruises, 20 hours is just not enough time to recover to the point they can hang defensively with this Edmonton team. Edmonton will score, and they don’t really have to play defence if they score enough (which I see them doing).

This lends its way to the Over. Now couple that point with the next fact: The goaltending on these teams is average at best. Georgiev has given up four goals in two of his last three games for the Avs and Skinner just gave up five goals to the Stars. Their season-long stats don’t look much better than their recent performance.

I’d be a dope not to talk about these two teams matching up recently, where the Avs won 3-2 in OT. Two things on that one: (1) Avs weren’t on a back to back and (2) Georgiev had 32 saves, which I don’t see happening again.

Hammer time.

Game 2: Vegas Golden Knights vs Arizona Coyotes, 8:00 p.m. CST

Pick: Vegas 3-Way Moneyline -105 (2u)

AZ is bad. They aren’t terrible, but they’re bad. It’s like when us Canadian folk go to the U.S. and order an iced tea. In Canada, it’s a sweet, sugary drink that pairs well with some vodka. In the U.S. it is literal tea with ice. Not terrible, but bad.

I don’t get this 3-Way ML at almost even money for VGK. The Knights are on a heater, winning 6 of their last 7, with multiple contributors and their best players playing like …. well, their best players.

Meanwhile, AZ is in a bit of a tailspin. There was a point there where they were looking like a possible playoff team, but that ship has sailed. 5-5 in their last ten games, I’m just not seeing how they put up a fight against this squad in shining armour. Take the Knights to slay the Coyotes, and thank them for the free pest control.

Pick: Alex Pietrangelo Over 1.5 SOG -200 (0.5u)

We aren’t stopping with just a game pick here. Let’s make a case for the guy who may have one of the hardest last names to pronounce in the NHL. Is it Pee-ter-angelo or Pit-rang-elo?!? I have no clue, but he shoots the puck.

The line being -200 makes sense here, but it literally just seems like a gimme bet. Hit this line in six of his last ten games, averages 2.2 SPG on the season, and AZ has an overwhelming tendency to give up shots to defencemen. He just has to catch two rim passes on zone entries and whip them at the goalies pads. Sounds easy enough.

Game 3: Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals, 5:00 p.m. CST

Pick: Sebastian Aho Over 2.5 SOG -150 (0.5u)

I keep riding these Carolina players on Over shots-on-goal (SOG) props and they just keep performing. And this is why: they have the most SOG in the League. And I would argue that there is no better player on this team than Aho, who should shoot a lot on a Washington team that is in the top half of the League in allowing shots.

Sure, Aho only had 1 SOG in his last game. His six games before that? 5, 3, 3, 1, 4, and 3 SOG. He is constantly hitting this line. And his season average is 2.80 shots-per-game (SPG). I usually don’t trust guys named Sebastian, but here, I’ll make an exception.

Game 4: New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings, 5:00 p.m. CST

Pick: Jacob Trouba Over 1.5 SOG -160 (0.5u)

The Trouba Train is rollin down the tracks tonight people! If you could take a season-long player prop on Trouba to take off O/U 3.5 heads in a season, I think I’d still lean the Over. The guy lays the hammer, never seems to be the nail, and pisses off Devils fans to no end. But let’s not overlook the fact that he also loves to sling rubber (and no, I’m not talking about his sex life, though it might still be applicable there).

The 1.5 SOG line here is another head-scratcher. Okay, Trouba hasn’t hit Over 1.5 SOG in his last three games. Well, one of those games he got kicked out in the opening second of the game after a line brawl. And if we take a look at Trouba’s SOG totals before these three games, it tells the story of this bet: 3, 3, 4, 2, 3 and 4 SOG.

He averages 1.92 SPG this season, so the value here is too good; just like the value menu used to be at McDonalds. Let’s ride.

Well that’s it people. I will be posting an article soon on Final Four picks for March Madness. If you want to make sure you don’t miss these articles, follow me on X at @plusmoneypost as I will be sharing them there.